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The stock market data shows that except for a couple of occasions, investors have been getting jackpots in the month of July. In the last 15 years, the month of July has given investors returns of more than 5 per cent in just one month. At the same time, it has happened at least 9 times when the month of July has been successful in giving more than one percent profit. In the last 15 years, the month of July has earned investors 11 times by staying in the green.
For 15 years, the month of July has not disappointed
Talking about the fall, the month of July has never disappointed in the last 15 years. It has never happened that the Sensex has fallen more than 5 per cent in July. In the last 15 years, the biggest fall in the month of July was seen in the year 2019, at that time the maximum fall of 4.86 percent was recorded in the Sensex. At the same time, in the year 2009, the Sensex gave a great way to its investors by making money. In 2009, a return of 8.12 percent was seen in the month of July.
June quarter data strongly accelerates in July
Overall, in the last 15 years, the month of July has proved to be a month of jackpots for those investing in the stock market. Stock market experts also believe that in anticipation of the July jackpot, the heartbeat of investors increases this month. According to equity market experts, a major reason for the market rally in the month of July is the release of the June quarter results of the companies. Since the onset of monsoon also starts in the month of June, due to this, the market tax sentiment is also good in the hope of a good harvest. On the other hand, July is the month when inflation is at its peak. This also affects the data of companies and this helps in creating bullish momentum in the market. In the month of July, America’s central bank reviews the policy of the Federal Reserve. This also affects the market sentiment and overall the market moves on a positive note.
How is the mood of the market in July this year?
The year 2022 has not been very encouraging in terms of equity markets. The war between Russia and Ukraine has been going on since February 2022. Neither the war is being decided nor is there any enthusiasm in the global market. The volatility in the markets around the world continues. According to experts, due to the war between Russia and Ukraine, the supply chain of the whole world has been affected and even unwillingly, this fight is affecting the economy of the world. A country like America, which considers itself to be the leader of the whole world, is going through the worst phase of inflation in the last 40 years due to this fight.
July jackpot may slip out of hand due to inflation
Experts believe that in the month of July this year, America’s central bank will be trying to control inflation. In the current circumstances, instead of supporting the growth rate of the economy in America, it is more important for America’s central bank to control inflation. Therefore, it does not seem that this year will give any benefit to other stock markets around the world from America. American investors are seen selling from the markets around the world. So the market is weakening. The Indian stock market is also included in these weakening markets. FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investor) are continuously selling from the Indian markets.
Indian markets are currently in the grip of recession
In the month of July, the eyes of the business world and the market will also be on the monsoon. In the year 2021, the BSE Sensex had seen a rise of 0.21% in the month of July. At the same time, there was an increase of 7.71 percent in the Indian market in 2020. In the year 2018, the stock market had gone up 6.16% in the month of July. In such a situation, the jackpot of July has generally been seen in the Indian market. This month people have also made a lot of money. But, this time the situation is opposite. The green mark in the market has shown little in the recent times. Even if the market is seen trading in the green mark, then the volatility in it is so high that it does not become a profitable deal for the investors. The Sensex, which was said for a few months to do at 60,000, is currently trading between 52,000 and 53,000, down more than ten percent. The Nifty going beyond 18,000 is also trading between 15,000 and 16,000.
This time the July jackpot will be taken or not?
A recent study by ILL Securities has revealed that the Indian market has been struggling to find directions for the past few months. This problem has arisen due to the decrease in volume in the cash market. In the month of June, the turnover of cash in BSE and Nifty has been reduced by 23 percent. In such a situation, the Indian stock market is not able to get out of the bearish mood. Overall, the situation at present, they are saying that this time investors will get the July jackpot in the market, it seems very unlikely. Yes, one thing is for sure that the stock market has its own math, so no prediction can be made about whether it brings July’s jackpot or not, it will be decided by the market itself.