Maharashtra Political Crisis New Scenario What Next Explained – Maharashtra Crisis: Uddhav now has how many bets, if the legislative assembly has been done 16, then where will the numbers power stand? Learn new equations here

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The ongoing political turmoil in Maharashtra has reached a turning point. Governor Bhagat Singh Koshyari has asked Uddhav Thackeray to prove his majority by Thursday evening. At the same time, Shiv Sena has reached the court against the floor test. The court will hear the petition of Shiv Sena this evening.

If Shiv Sena does not get relief from the court, then the day of June 30 can be decisive in this political turmoil in Maharashtra. In such a situation, let us know with whom is the number force right now? Can Deputy Speaker disqualify rebel MLAs before majority test? If 16 rebels are disqualified, the equation may turn in favor of Uddhav?

Who’s with the numbers right now?

There are currently 287 MLAs in the 288-member Maharashtra Legislative Assembly. In such a situation, the majority figure becomes 144. The rebel faction of Shiv Sena is claiming the support of 50 MLAs, including 39 Shiv Sena MLAs. If their claim is true, then the rebels will not get membership. In this situation, it is very difficult for the Uddhav Thackeray government to prove majority.

The rebel MLAs are talking of an alliance with the BJP. BJP has 106 MLAs. With the support of 50 MLAs, this number becomes 156. Which is 12 more than the majority figure. That is, if the Uddhav government is defeated in the majority test, the way for the BJP to form the government can be easy.

Even if the Deputy Speaker has the issue of disqualification of 16 MLAs, what about it?

The Deputy Speaker had issued notices to 16 rebel MLAs regarding disqualification. The MLAs were to respond to the notice by Monday evening. However, the Supreme Court on Monday itself gave these MLAs time till July 12 to respond.

The court is scheduled to hear the matter on July 11. Earlier, Shiv Sena has gone to court only after the governor asked for a majority test. Shiv Sena wants that till the disqualification of the MLAs is not decided, there should not even be a majority test. Based on the court’s order on Monday, the Uddhav Thackeray faction will hope to extend the date of the floor test.

What if 16 MLAs get disqualified before the majority test?

If this happens, the total number of MLAs of Shiv Sena will come down from 55 to 39. At the same time, the rebel group will have the support of 23 MLAs. The rebel Shiv Sena faction with the remaining 39 MLAs will need at least 26 MLAs to avoid disqualification. Otherwise, the remaining 23 MLAs can also be disqualified.

Shinde faction is demanding the removal of the deputy speaker, can this happen?

During the political upheaval in Arunachal Pradesh in 2015, the Supreme Court had given a decision regarding this. In the judgment, the court said that the Constitution states that the deputy speaker can be removed “by a majority vote of the members of the assembly”. The court had interpreted this as saying that all the legislators of the assembly can vote on the disqualification of the deputy speaker before taking any decision about their disqualification.

In this context, it can be said that the decision of this matter of disqualification of rebel Shiv Sena MLAs seems difficult without the intervention of the apex court.

The Supreme Court has spoken of status quo till July 12, then how is the floor test going on?

The court had only said that status quo should be maintained in the case of disqualification of the MLAs. Nothing was said about the floor test. However, during the hearing, there was a demand from the Maharashtra government to stay the floor test till July 11. The court refused to pass any such order. The court had said that we cannot pass any such order which creates unnecessary complexity.

Jailed Nawab Malik and Anil Deshmukh to attend floor test?

Nawab Malik and Anil Deshmukh are both NCP MLAs. Both are currently in jail. During the Rajya Sabha elections and the Legislative Council elections, both had sought permission from the court to cast their votes. However, both were not allowed. Before the floor test, both have filed a petition in the Supreme Court. Both have sought permission from the court to appear in the floor test. If the Shinde faction’s claim proves to be true, then Uddhav Thackeray will not get much benefit from the votes of both. Because even after both of them voted in favor of the government, the Uddhav Thackeray government will remain in the minority.

Expansion

The ongoing political turmoil in Maharashtra has reached a turning point. Governor Bhagat Singh Koshyari has asked Uddhav Thackeray to prove his majority by Thursday evening. At the same time, Shiv Sena has reached the court against the floor test. The court will hear the petition of Shiv Sena this evening.

If Shiv Sena does not get relief from the court, then the day of June 30 can be decisive in this political turmoil in Maharashtra. In such a situation, let us know with whom is the number force right now? Can Deputy Speaker disqualify rebel MLAs before majority test? If 16 rebels are disqualified, the equation may turn in favor of Uddhav?

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